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Wednesday 23 May 2018

Populism: Can it change the world order?

Populism is a very subjective term, it’s interpretation varies from—one group to another. Populism historically has come in variants across the ideological spectrum. All variants of populism in past and present—have few things in common, which are its defining characteristics.
Populists are unfriendly towards elites, set of privileged people—who run the state, established institutes and rule of law. They claim to have all people on their back, call themselves—the voice of “unheard”.  Consider only themselves as “legal”, others with varying or divergent views are called as “illegal” or in extreme cases as “threat to the nation”.

Populists may be militarists or pacifists. Populism can be inclusive as well as exclusive. Brexit is one such example of exclusive populism when people of Britain decided to leave the European Union. Trump's deportation of “illegal immigrants” which was his main election plank and his “America First”—amounts to exclusive populism. The populism of exclusiveness is dominant today than it was ever—after the establishment of liberal democracies.

Populists focus on closing their doors for the stigmatised groups like refugees—which can be seen in Europe today. Where ever, there is a totalitarian or an authoritarian regime voted to power aftermath of a populistic movement. Its main victims are rights of minorities and rule of law. Rights of minorities are under threat, as populists generally believe in the will of the majority. Nationalism is growing in many economically well-doing countries. Despite these countries allowing foreign investment, immigration and trade—rise of nationalism and populism may be blamed on insecurities of culture. Populists tend to limit rights of its citizens—they perceive them as an obstacle to their vision, it is a dangerous trend. They tend to reverse the openness of world, free exchange and global markets.

Some analysts believe there is a vacuum in global economic leadership, as U.S.A traditional leader is shifting towards ethnonationalism and protectionism.
President Xi Jinping became the first Chinese president to attend World Economic Forum at Davos. Reasons were obvious, China see itself as a contender of global economic leader and is ready to take the charge.
Xi Jinping in his speech strongly defended globalisation and free trade.
Xi said “protectionism is like locking oneself in a dark room in the hopes of protecting oneself from danger, but in so doing, cutting off all light and air”.
“No one will emerge as a winner in a trade war,” He said in his speech. China’s growth rates depend on free trade, that makes them a staunch supporter of the World Free Trade Agreement. China has been an unambiguous friend of EU and European unity. China is trying to portray itself as a reliable partner and ready to co-operate with global economies.
China becoming world economic leader will change the world order by its foundations.

Ken Roth—Executive Director, Human Rights Watch in its world report titled “The Dangerous Rise of Populism, Global attacks on human rights values.” The report said,” The appeal of the populists has grown with mounting public discontent over the status quo. In the West, many people feel left behind by technological change, the global economy, and growing inequality. Horrific incidents of terrorism generate apprehension and fear. Some are uneasy with societies that have become more ethnically, religiously and racially diverse. There is an increasing sense that governments and the elite ignore public concerns.”
 Populism has an adverse effect on the world order. World economy rate is growing at lower rates. Global trade rates are forecasted to be low, by IMF (International monetary fund).
IMF managing director Christine Lagarde earlier said,” stagnant wages and diminishing job security, the populist uprising threatens to depress a world economy.”
Populistic movements in the west and around are critical to status quo and are sceptic about globalisation. Populism is giving rise to xenophobia, immigrants are perceived as a threat.
According to a report from the Munich Security Conference “The world is facing a post-truth, post-West, post-order era fueled by the rise of populist and illiberal forces.” The report further included “Populist parties reject the cultural modernization in Western societies and revolt against what they perceive as threats to the nation, ranging from immigration and cosmopolitan elites to international institutions.” It further said, “There are many questions regarding the stability of global governance, about the validity and the strength of the international system, of global order.”
Trump administration’s intentions to dishonour international agreements and snubbing international institutions that sustain global. America’s multi-national companies rely on them for their good.

In many countries populism is rising despite higher growth rates, dumping theories of populism being associated with the disenchantment of franchise due to laggardness of economy of a nation.
For instance, when Philippines’ economy was growing at 8 percent. The franchise of Philippine voted to power an authoritarian populist as their president, who openly called for the killing of suspected drug-dealers without any trial. When a set of elites ruling a nation for long, turn blind eye to issues impacting its citizens, they are ready to take the risk to elect an authoritarian populist as head of their state.


Reasons for a surge of populism vary from one place to another, so varies antidot.
In general, there is a generation of discontent in the citizens of nations—where ever there is an upsurge in populism. To combat populism, first, there has to be combat for the problem/crisis which is responsible. Governments have not effectively able to combat the crisis. Liberal democracies/institutions are only stable when the majority of people support it. These legitimate democratic institutions have had been not delivering to the people effectively. According to some analysts, root cause of rise of populism is democratic government’s not able to guarantee their citizens a higher standard of livings. For many citizens, democracy is an empty vessel—they are looking for alternatives and populistic movements are easiest available.
In Europe, citizens perceive all political elite same, who are not able to address issues affecting them.
Many believe electoral measures can be taken to obstacle the march of populists. They believe there should decentralisation of power and more democracies should move towards presidential system; obviously, it has not worked in case of America.


To raise standards of living for its citizens, countries need to revisit its economic policies. With tax cuts to rich globally, it is to be acknowledged that it hits those in low-income zones. Globalisation, technological growth, automation and tax cuts raise the quality of life of society as a whole. It hits pockets of those in population, who are in lower income zones or their income has been stagnant for years.
The ultimate aim of a government should not be only managing economy at the macro level; interested only in increasing GDP (Gross Domestic Product) rates and no management at the micro level.
Today 1% of population holds 50% of world’s wealth. There is a number of millionaires increasing globally year after year. It doesn’t imply a standard of living is globally increasing. People are becoming rich at the cost of other people with stagnant income or lesser income. Wealth distribution is highly un-equitable around the world. Economic policies need to rectified so that they tend to make an equitable distribution of wealth among the people. Unless and until the growth of populism is highly inevitable.

Tuesday 10 April 2018

In Kashmir, Encounters And Death Have Replaced The Tulip Season Overnight


April 9, 2018

A week ago, Kashmir was bustling. The Tulip Garden had been opened for visitors. It is situated at the foot of the mighty Zabarwan Hills and washed by the Dal Lake on the other side. People in large numbers — both local and non-local were seen enjoying the garden. Tulips of various colours, along with multi-coloured hybrids mesmerised and spellbound the visitors.

While the government was gearing up for the revival of tourism by projecting a “return of normalcy”, Kashmir woke up on Sunday (April 1) to see a new phase of mayhem and bloodshed. An encounterthroughout night and day, followed by protests left 13 militants, four civilians and three security personnel dead. Hundreds were injured, many among them hit by pellet guns — they may lose their eyesight.
Eventually, photos of tulips on social media sites were replaced by those of dead bodies, eyes pierced by pellets, burning houses (encounter sites) and protests. Few compared tulips with Kashmiris, one wrote – “both have a short life”. Studios of many New Delhi-based news channels were in a celebratory mode — despite the death of three jawans. These channels were doing what they do best — romanticising state violence.
It is important to note that all 13 militants killed were Kashmiri youth — most in their twenties, and a few still teenagers. While people sitting in Delhi were celebrating their deaths, Kashmir was mourning and many called Sunday as a “black day”. There was a time, a few years ago — when people used to run away from encounter sites for their lives. Today, the opposite is happening, people run towards encounter sites — to help militants break the siege without caring of their lives.
The Government of India (GOI) has consistently followed the policy of an “iron fist” to stifle dissent and caging political dissidents. All of this has failed, since today, more young people are picking up arms. For the first time, the UN chief called for the “need of investigation in civilian killings”. Half-hearted attempts to initiate dialogue by appointing a former IB man couldn’t melt the ice.
Kashmir has been ruled by Mughals, Afghans and Dogras. And people have not cared about ruler being Kashmiri or Non-Kashmiri as long as they proved to be good and just. As Prem Nath Bazaz has written in his book ‘Struggle of Freedom in Kashmir’: “For that reason, when capable leaders were not forthcoming in their motherland, the people invited strong and noble-minded men from outside to rule over them and then they owned them as their kings.”
Many think this violence may escalate and engulf the whole tourism season.
“Peace” here is called as a period of time “between two deaths”, but for how long will it continue? It has a human cost as well. In 2017, according to JKCCS (Jammu Kashmir Coalition of Civil Society), there were 451 killings in Kashmir – which include 125 Armed Forces personnel, 217 Militants and 108 Civilians. Human rights can’t be subjected to terms and conditions. The question is not about whether India can control Kashmir, but does it have a sense of propriety whether governed are happy with our actions?
The situation in Kashmir is changing—hopes of any result-oriented dialogue are dimming. India may continue its militaristic approach but at its own peril.

Author is a Kashmir-based blogger. He tweets @khalidbinbashir

Saturday 24 March 2018

Coercion: Will it intensify resistance against oppression and rejuvenate struggle for justice.

Recent arrests of resistance leaders and activists by central agencies --  NIA (National Investigation Agency) and  ED (Enforcement Directorate) is seen as high-pressure tactics to buckle them under pressure.
Indian Express in its report titled "MHA’s report: Need to control mosque, madrasa, media for Kashmir valley narrative" dated 25.2.2017. In this, IE quotes MHA sources :"On the role of separatists, the report calls for the crackdown by Income Tax and other agencies on them, but at the same time advocates engagement with the moderate faction."


Going as per this report, GOI (Government of India) has lost round one; they were not able to divide the resistance leadership. Instead, JRL (Joint Resistance Leadership) has become more united and stronger.
New Delhi's opinion of this legitimate political dissidence being only because of Hurriyat is a flawed one. Even before 90's when there was no Hurriyat, Azadi -- independence , aspirations were still there.


These attempts to discredit and malign them can prove disastrous. Political dissidents who believe in armed rebellion or violent means of resistance will take the front seat. This can result in more mayhem and bloodshed on the streets of the tormented vale. These attempts will shrink space for any peaceful dialogue.


Long before a revolutionary leader, Sheikh Mohammed Abdullah was arrested on the same charges of "illegal" funding. After 11 years of jail, surrendered everything -- once stood for. Some say people failed him -- despite of revolutionary "land to the tiller", others -- he failed the people. This is a deja vu episode in the vale.


Will this be repeated? Or will both leadership and people intensify resistance against oppression and will rejuvenaterejuvenate struggle for justice.
People in vale have been religiously following JRL's protest calendars. Parlell governance by JRL is more impactful than that of de facto regime's. Coercion by GOI, can turn-to-be a watershed moment. This can be a blessing in disguise and may unite Kashmir more than ever it was. Resistance against oppression may be intensified more then ever or otherwise.
(Blogger can be contacted on Twitter @khalidbinbashir)































Published By With Kashmir.